Temperatures on Earth have stabilized in the past decade, and the planet should brace itself for a new Ice Age rather than global warming, a Russian scientist said in an interview with RIA Novosti Tuesday."Russian and foreign research data confirm that global temperatures in 2007 were practically similar to those in 2006, and, in general, identical to 1998-2006 temperatures, which, basically, means that the Earth passed the peak of global warming in 1998-2005," said Khabibullo Abdusamatov, head of a space research lab at the Pulkovo observatory in St. Petersburg.According to the scientist, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the Earth'satmosphere has risen more than 4% in the past decade, but global warming has practically stopped.
It confirms the theory of "solar" impact on changes in the Earth's climate, because the amount of solar energy reaching the planet has drastically decreased during the same period, the scientist said.
temperatures directly responded to concentrations of "greenhouse" gases
in the atmosphere, they would have risen by at least 0.1 Celsius in the
past ten years, however, it never happened, he said.
"A year ago, many
meteorologists predicted that higher levels of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere would make the year 2007 the hottest in the last decade,
but, fortunately, these predictions did not become reality,"
He also said that in 2008,
global temperatureswould drop slightly, rather than rise, due to
unprecedentedly low solar radiation in the past 30 years, and would
continue decreasing even if industrial emissions of carbon dioxide
reach record levels.
By 2041, solar activity
will reach its minimum according to a 200-year cycle, and a deep
cooling period will hit the Earth approximately in 2055-2060. It will
last for about 45-65 years, the scientist added.
"By the mid-21st century
the planet will face another Little Ice Age, similar to the Maunder
Minimum, because the amount of solar radiation hitting the Earth has
been constantly decreasing since the 1990s and will reach its minimum
approximately in 2041," he said.
The Maunder Minimum
occurred between 1645 and 1715, when only about 50 spots appeared on
the Sun, as opposed to the typical 40,000-50,000spots.......
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